Description

This analysis provides a forecast of TRX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-07-13 0.210760 0.237882 0.266596 0.299203 0.335143 0.373487 0.417428
2025-07-20 0.179202 0.216598 0.258456 0.308576 0.366735 0.431874 0.510114
2025-07-27 0.153247 0.196695 0.247738 0.311683 0.389160 0.479487 0.592210
2025-08-03 0.135229 0.183148 0.241910 0.318488 0.414787 0.530945 0.680624
2025-08-10 0.121855 0.173284 0.238830 0.327301 0.442240 0.585036 0.774172
2025-08-17 0.106929 0.159405 0.228808 0.325654 0.455378 0.621014 0.846015
2025-08-24 0.095066 0.148140 0.220799 0.325345 0.469336 0.657789 0.919639
2025-08-31 0.084873 0.137978 0.213101 0.324348 0.481586 0.692116 0.990751
2025-09-07 0.078347 0.132371 0.211091 0.330705 0.503694 0.739997 1.081300
2025-09-14 0.071011 0.124709 0.205295 0.330901 0.516686 0.775457 1.155791
2025-09-21 0.064643 0.117854 0.200007 0.331198 0.529410 0.810579 1.230612
2025-09-28 0.059042 0.111632 0.195085 0.331481 0.541760 0.845238 1.305575
2025-10-05 0.054579 0.107030 0.192568 0.335620 0.560572 0.890731 1.399012
2025-10-12 0.051510 0.104506 0.193151 0.344556 0.586987 0.948263 1.511929
2025-10-19 0.047546 0.099973 0.190012 0.347193 0.603592 0.991683 1.605470
2025-10-26 0.044735 0.097241 0.189644 0.354217 0.627259 1.046417 1.717513
2025-11-02 0.042556 0.095459 0.190729 0.363616 0.654998 1.108185 1.841992
2025-11-09 0.038841 0.090301 0.185413 0.361680 0.664019 1.141103 1.923290
2025-11-16 0.035710 0.085957 0.181189 0.361268 0.675345 1.177788 2.011280
2025-11-23 0.032782 0.081704 0.176767 0.360137 0.685235 1.212311 2.096702
2025-11-30 0.031114 0.079931 0.176864 0.367062 0.709022 1.269774 2.219813
2025-12-07 0.028794 0.076482 0.173441 0.367264 0.721059 1.308372 2.313792
2025-12-14 0.026688 0.073272 0.170221 0.367581 0.733183 1.347338 2.409285